Posted by Paul on March 7, 2008
In the first national poll of presidential preferences, SurveyUSA asked 30,000 respondents in all 50 states, if the election were held today, who would you vote for.
The Results:
Both Democrats Beat John McCain
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hillary Clinton 276
John McCain 262
States Democrats Pick Up:
West Virginia, Arkansas, New Mexico, Ohio, Florida
States Democrats Lose:
Washington, Oregon, Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire
View Clinton/McCain Electoral Map
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Barack Obama 280
John McCain 258
States Democrats Pick Up:
Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, North Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia
States Democrats Lose:
Florida, Pennsylvania, New Jersey
View Obama/McCain Electoral Map
I’m always skeptical of national polls, but it’s interesting that this is the first conducted in all 50 states for the general election.
Posted in Barack Obama, California, Delaware, Hillary Clinton, Illinois, Iowa, John McCain, Maryland, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia | Leave a Comment »
Posted by Paul on December 22, 2007
California: a state where dreams are made and broken, where crazy things are not only possible but happen (Governator Arnold comes to mind). Its unpredictability may not bode well for Senator Clinton. Her once strong lead in California has diminished, and should Obama or Edwards be victorious in Iowa or New Hampshire, California will be crucial to Hillary’s clinching of the nomination. Unlike most states, it has tremendous influence; California possesses a gigantic amount of delegates to the convention (it’s the world’s 5th largest economy, and the most populous state). It’s sway on Feb. 5 could either unite the Democratic party behind one candidate, or divide it into two to be determined at convention.
A Field Research Poll shows California may not be as safe for Hillary as once thought.
Field Research Corporation, Dec. 17, 2007
Clinton 36%
Obama 22%
Edwards 13%
Without Edwards, same poll:
Clinton 39%
Obama 27%
36-22 seems to be a good lead, but not when you consider the same poll, same choices in October:
Field Research Corporation, Oct. 21, 2007
Clinton 45%
Obama 20%
From October to December, Clinton has fallen from a 25 point lead to a 14 point lead over Senator Obama. The question now is if momentum can drive him to take California’s super delegates.
Posted in California, polling | Leave a Comment »
